Europa sempre più unita? Tanti annunci, pochi fatti

Soltanto un anno fa, la Commissione europea pubblicava il Libro bianco sul futuro dell’Europa delineando 5 scenari per il destino dell’Unione e chiedendo agli Stati membri di prendere una direzione chiara a favore, o contro, un approfondimento del processo di integrazione. Da allora, si sono susseguite soltanto innumerevoli elezioni (Francia, Germania, Austria, Repubblica Ceca, Ungheria) e molti proclami. Sono state pochissime invece le decisioni di rilievo (un discorso a parte andrebbe fatto per l’Unione di difesa). 

Gli eventi geopolitici delle ultime settimane sembrerebbero aver relegato in secondo piano la politica dell’integrazione europea. Probabilmente è anche per questo motivo che, martedì, il Presidente francese, Emmanuel Macron, ha preso la parola di fronte al Parlamento europeo di Strasburgo per rilanciare la sfida di una trasformazione dell’Ue. Il presidente francese ha affermato che in un “contesto illiberale” e di fronte alle “crisi geopolitiche, l’Europa” deve assumersi grandi “responsabilità”. Conseguentemente, con riferimento al futuro dell’Unione, Macron ha detto che la discussione non può svolgersi come se fosse “ordinaria”.

In linea generale, la parola chiave del discorso di Macron è sicuramente stata quella di “sovranità” che, secondo il Presidente, va “reinventata” a livello europeo “per dimostrare ai cittadini” una capacità di “protezione” da parte delle istituzioni comunitarie. Allo stesso tempo, “la democrazia rimane la migliore chance” dell’Europa. In altri termini, “sarebbe un errore abbandonare un’identità comune”, quella incarnata dalla “democrazia liberale”. Il nazionalismo? Un’ “illusione”. Ma la “rabbia dei popoli europei” va ascoltata e “non ha bisogno di pedagogia, bensì di azioni efficaci nel quotidiano”. Concretamente, “entro la Primavera 2019”, c’è bisogno di “risultati tangibili”. Gli obiettivi fondamentali? Un programma europeo che sostenga le municipalità che accolgono rifugiati; la tassazione dei giganti del web; la riforma dell’Unione economica e monetaria (Uem) e, prima della fine della legislatura, una roadmap per l’Unione bancaria e la definizione di un budget finalizzato a stabilizzare l’Eurozona”.

Il discorso di Macron è stato un intervento “politico”, non tecnico. E la discussione con i deputati europei che ha fatto seguito è stata incentrata sui temi dell’immigrazione, della politica internazionale ed energetica (intervento in Siria, dipendenza dalla Russia), della Brexit, della partecipazione dei cittadini alla vita istituzionale dell’Ue e, genericamente, del dumping sociale. È facile notare invece che si sia parlato pochissimo delle riforme istituzionali dell’Eurozona e dell’Unione economica e monetaria (a parte, i pochissimi cenni di Macron riportati sopra). Peccato però che sia proprio questo capitolo a determinare la capacità dell’Ue di influenzare la vita quotidiana dei cittadini nei singoli Paesi e a interessare, tra i tanti interlocutori, la classe dirigente italiana.

La verità è che, al netto dell’intervento di oggi e alla luce del voto italiano, l’iniziativa “macroniana” ha perso slancio

Cosa si può dire a tal proposito allora? Come procede il piano di Macron? È utile ricordare, in sintesi, gli elementi fondamentali del piano francese: completamento dell’Unione bancaria, creazione di un budget fiscale per l’Eurozona, istituzione di un ministro dell’Economia europeo e trasformazione del Meccanismo di stabilità europeo (Mes) in un fondo monetario europeo ancorato al diritto comunitario. Il partner fondamentale per realizzare questa trasformazione dovrebbe essere, agli occhi di Parigi, la Germania di Angela Merkel.

La verità è che, al netto dell’intervento di oggi e alla luce del voto italiano, l’iniziativa “macroniana” ha perso slancio. A confermarlo ci sono numerosi articoli della stampa tedesca e internazionale pubblicati negli ultimi giorni. Su Euractiv, Andrew Rettman scrive che la Germania si sta mostrando sempre più recalcitrante all’idea di “condividere la propria ricchezza” con gli altri Stati europei. Inoltre, vengono riportate le parole del Presidente della Bundesbank, Jens Weidmann e del vice-Capogruppo al Bundestag della CDU/CSU di Angela Merkel, Ralph Brinkhaus. Se il primo avrebbe ribadito la (nota) opposizione a qualsivoglia “destinazione eurobond”, il secondo avrebbe addirittura frenato sia sul fronte della creazione dell’EDIS (si tratta dello “Schema europeo di assicurazione dei depositi bancari” – un elemento fondamentale per completare il progetto dell’Unione bancaria), che della trasformazione del Mes in un fondo monetario europeo.

Ma oltre il fronte conservatore, anche il ministro delle Finanze, Olaf Scholz (SPD), ha recentemente commentato lo scenario ai microfoni della Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung: “Non tutti i piani del Presidente francese sono realizzabili” (qui, alcuni estratti in inglese). Allo stesso tempo, va detto che, proprio dalle file della SPD, è arrivato l’invito a Merkel di prendere posizione (Der Spiegel) sul tema. Un intervento della Cancelliera sarebbe sicuramente necessario al fine di, da un lato, abbassare il volume delle voci scettiche interne al suo partito, e, dall’altro, ribadire la posizione della coalizione (appoggio in linea di massima alle riforme di Macron). Sulla stessa lunghezza d’onda si colloca il partito ecologista tedesco. Ci sono poi le associazioni di categoria degli industriali che hanno chiesto al Governo di “plasmare” in maniera rilevante il processo di riforme.

Nel suo discorso, Macron ha affermato che “il prossimo budget europeo deve incarnare una scelta politica” sul futuro dell’Unione. È sicuramente più facile a dirsi, che a farsi

Ma dipende veramente tutto da Berlino? No. E, a tal proposito, va aggiunto che le posizioni tedesche non sono, ormai, le più intransigenti nel contesto europeo. In un comunicatocongiunto di qualche settimana fa, il blocco di Paesi membri del nord Europa e dell’area Baltica hanno ribadito la loro contrarietà, sia nel merito che nel metodo, al processo di riforme abbozzato da Macron e condiviso – per ora soltanto a parole e a fasi alterne – da Angela Merkel. Capitolo a parte merita poi il blocco Austria-Viségrad, sempre più lontano dal cuore dell’Ue da un punto di vista dei “valori” e delle pratiche di governo (e, forse, anche economicamente, come dimostra il ruolo sempre più rilevante della Cina nell’area – si veda Politico).

Durante l’ultimo Consiglio europeo di marzo, era stato affermato che il mese di giugno 2018 sarebbe stato il momento più adatto per trovare una quadra tra le varie posizioni in campo: Europa del Nord – Germania – Francia – Europa dell’Est e Paesi del Sud. Ma alla luce di quanto esposto e considerando anche le parole di Macron – il quale ha affermato che l’orizzonte utile per la roadmap è la fine dell’attuale “legislatura parlamentare europea” – si tratta di uno scenario irrealistico. Ci vorrebbe, in alternativa, un colpo di genio diplomatico, o, più semplicemente, un accordo di “minimo comun denominatore”, il quale però, a sua volta, annienterebbe lo spirito delle riforme (e dell’elezione) di Macron. 

Nel frattempo, oltre al capitolo “riforme” c’è poi da portare avanti la negoziazione sul Quadro di finanziamento pluriennale (Qfp) che determinerà l’allocazione e le coperture del budget dell’Ue dal 2020 al 2027. In questo contesto, i Paesi membri sembrerebbero – ancora una volta – divergere: chi si assumerà la responsabilità di coprire il buco lasciato dal Regno Unito? Quali saranno le politiche poste al centro dei prossimi 7 anni di governo comunitario? Nel suo discorso, Macron ha affermato che “il prossimo budget europeo deve incarnare una scelta politica” sul futuro dell’Unione. È sicuramente più facile a dirsi, che a farsi. 

Soltanto un anno fa, la Commissione europea pubblicava il Libro bianco sul futuro dell’Europa delineando 5 scenari per il destino dell’Unione e chiedendo agli Stati membri di prendere una direzione chiara a favore, o contro, un approfondimento del processo di integrazione. Da allora, si sono susseguite soltanto innumerevoli elezioni (Francia, Germania, Austria, Repubblica Ceca, Ungheria) e molti proclami. Sono state pochissime invece le decisioni di rilievo (un discorso a parte andrebbe fatto per l’Unione di difesa). Tra un anno si voterà per rinnovare il Parlamento europeo, ma il senso di questa Unione (a parte favorire il consolidamento del Mercato Unico) sembra sempre più avvolto dalla nebbia. Nonostante gli sforzi di Macron.

 

(Linkiesta, 19.04.2018)

Photo CC Flickr: Jeso Carneiro

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